Research reports

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,332 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0031, p = 0.0063 after correction), with a mean direction near 25° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,332 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.5068, p = 0.5068 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.43% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,332 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1252, p = 0.1669 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.75% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,332 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,309 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0031, p = 0.0062 after correction), with a mean direction near 29° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,309 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.4908, p = 0.4908 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.44% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,309 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1584, p = 0.2111 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.70% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,309 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,301 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0028, p = 0.0057 after correction), with a mean direction near 31° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,301 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.4907, p = 0.4907 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.44% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,301 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1336, p = 0.1781 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.73% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,301 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.26% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,288 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0025, p = 0.0050 after correction), with a mean direction near 32° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,288 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.5062, p = 0.5062 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.43% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,288 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1129, p = 0.1506 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.76% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,288 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,279 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0023, p = 0.0046 after correction), with a mean direction near 33° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.28% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,279 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.5308, p = 0.5308 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.41% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,279 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0996, p = 0.1327 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.79% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,279 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.26% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,267 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0020, p = 0.0040 after correction), with a mean direction near 35° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.29% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,267 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.5715, p = 0.5715 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.39% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,267 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0871, p = 0.1161 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.81% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,267 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,262 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0018, p = 0.0037 after correction), with a mean direction near 36° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.30% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,262 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.5942, p = 0.5942 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.37% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,262 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0822, p = 0.1095 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.82% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,262 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.26% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,251 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0016, p = 0.0032 after correction), with a mean direction near 37° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.32% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,251 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.6354, p = 0.6354 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.35% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,251 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0783, p = 0.1044 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.83% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,251 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,243 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0015, p = 0.0029 after correction), with a mean direction near 38° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.32% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,243 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.6639, p = 0.6639 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.33% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,243 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0795, p = 0.1059 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.82% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,243 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 253° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,233 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0013, p = 0.0025 after correction), with a mean direction near 39° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.34% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,233 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7061, p = 0.7061 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.31% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,233 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0797, p = 0.1062 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.82% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,233 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,231 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0012, p = 0.0025 after correction), with a mean direction near 39° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.34% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,231 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7162, p = 0.7162 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.30% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,231 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0814, p = 0.1085 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.82% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,231 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.27% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,222 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 0.0010, p = 0.0020 after correction), with a mean direction near 40° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.36% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,222 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7623, p = 0.7623 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.27% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,222 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0907, p = 0.1210 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.80% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,222 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,216 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 9.15e-4, p = 0.0018 after correction), with a mean direction near 41° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.37% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,216 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7826, p = 0.7826 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.26% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,216 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.0966, p = 0.1288 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.79% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,216 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,210 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 8.13e-4, p = 0.0016 after correction), with a mean direction near 42° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.38% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,210 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.8080, p = 0.8080 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.24% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,210 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1068, p = 0.1424 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.78% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,210 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,200 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 6.72e-4, p = 0.0013 after correction), with a mean direction near 43° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.40% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,200 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.8249, p = 0.8249 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.23% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,200 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1222, p = 0.1629 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.75% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,200 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,194 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 5.70e-4, p = 0.0011 after correction), with a mean direction near 43° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.42% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,194 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.8291, p = 0.8291 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.22% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,194 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1365, p = 0.1820 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.73% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,194 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.26% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,189 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 5.13e-4, p = 0.0010 after correction), with a mean direction near 44° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.43% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,189 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.8245, p = 0.8245 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.23% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,189 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1474, p = 0.1966 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.72% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,189 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,177 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 3.96e-4, p = 7.93e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 44° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.45% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,177 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7973, p = 0.7973 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.25% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,177 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1733, p = 0.2311 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.69% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,177 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,172 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 3.56e-4, p = 7.12e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 45° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.46% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,172 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7742, p = 0.7742 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.26% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,172 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.1868, p = 0.2490 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.67% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,172 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.25% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,171 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 3.07e-4, p = 6.13e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 46° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.48% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,171 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7553, p = 0.7553 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.27% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,171 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.2000, p = 0.2667 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.66% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,171 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,166 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 2.80e-4, p = 5.60e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 46° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.48% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,166 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.7264, p = 0.7264 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.29% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,166 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.2151, p = 0.2868 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.64% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,166 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.24% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,162 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 2.54e-4, p = 5.08e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 46° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.49% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,162 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.6922, p = 0.6922 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.31% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,162 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.2246, p = 0.2995 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.63% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,162 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.23% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the calendar year. The alternative is a seasonal signal.

Across 37,153 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = 2.03e-4, p = 4.05e-4 after correction), with a mean direction near 47° (0° = 1 January, 180° = early July). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 1.51% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the anomalistic (perigee-to-apogee) cycle. The alternative is clustering near perigee, when the lunar tide-raising force is strongest.

Across 37,153 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.6586, p = 0.6586 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.34% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks of magnitude 4.5 and above are uniformly distributed across the lunar synodic cycle. The alternative is that they cluster near some phase, such as new or full moon.

Across 37,153 independent mainshocks, the phase angles are consistent with a uniform distribution (Schuster p = 0.2264, p = 0.3019 after correcting for the other tests in this run). The resultant vector is 0.63% of its maximum possible length, which is what random scatter looks like. No association was detected.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses

Hypothesis: Independent mainshocks are uniformly distributed across the solar day. The alternative is clustering at some hour of the day.

Across 37,153 independent mainshocks, the phase angles depart from uniform (Schuster p = < 1e-10, p = < 1e-10 after correction), with a mean direction near 254° (0° = 00:00 UTC, 180° = 12:00 UTC). The effect is small: the resultant vector is 3.23% of its maximum, meaning the overwhelming majority of the timing is unexplained by this variable. A departure from uniformity is not a mechanism, is not causation, and cannot be used to anticipate any individual earthquake.

Reproducibility: model schuster-gk74-bh-v1; catalogue M4.5+ from 2011-01-01T00:00:00.000Z; Gardner-Knopoff declustering; Schuster test; Benjamini-Hochberg across 4 hypotheses