Eastern North Pacific · active system
Vance
Official warningTS. Observed positions and the official forecast are listed separately below and are never merged.
Live satellite and radar
Centred on the last reported position, using the geostationary satellite that covers this basin. Step or play through the last two hours of frames.
GOES-West — East Pacific
GeoColor (day/night true colour)
GOES-West GeoColor (10-minute) · GOES-18 (GOES-West) · ABI, multi-band composite · 1-2 km at nadir · Eastern and central Pacific, from about 137°W. Typical latency: Roughly 30-60 minutes.
NASA GIBS. Tiles are streamed from the provider on request and are not re-hosted.
Weather forecast at the storm's current position
16.3°N, 107.7°W — the system is moving, so this is the weather where it is now, not where it is going
Thunderstorm
4.2 mm · 87%
Wind 43 km/hgusts 55 km/h
High confidence
Thunderstorm
11.2 mm · 93%
Wind 36 km/hgusts 50 km/h
High confidence
Moderate drizzle
1.6 mm · 39%
Wind 16 km/hgusts 26 km/h
Moderate confidence
Moderate drizzle
1.7 mm · 18%
Wind 9 km/hgusts 15 km/h
Moderate confidence
Light drizzle
0.3 mm · 18%
Wind 12 km/hgusts 18 km/h
Moderate confidence
Light drizzle
3.9 mm · 10%
Wind 11 km/hgusts 18 km/h
Low confidence
Light drizzle
0.1 mm · 6%
Wind 14 km/hgusts 24 km/h
Low confidence
Confidence falls with lead time. Tomorrow is usually close. Day six or seven is a steer about the pattern — whether a wet spell is coming, roughly how warm — not a reliable statement about a particular afternoon. The bands above mark that rather than leaving every day looking equally certain.
Times are UTC and values are for a single point, so a coastline or a mountain a few kilometres away can differ markedly. For anything that matters, use your national weather service, which forecasts your area specifically and issues the warnings.
Source: Weather forecast from Open-Meteo, blending national weather-service models (CC BY 4.0). · Retrieved: 2026-10-27 16:09 UTC
Observed positions
Fixes published by the warning centre. These are measurements, not predictions.
| Observed at (UTC) | Position | Max sustained wind | Central pressure | Movement |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-27 06:00:00 UTC10 h ago | 15.80°N, 106.70°W | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-27 09:00:00 UTC7 h ago | 15.90°N, 106.90°W | 40 kt74 km/h · 1-min average | 1002 hPa | 8 kt toward 310° |
| 2026-10-27 12:00:00 UTC4 h ago | 16.10°N, 107.30°W | — | — | — |
| 2026-10-27 15:00:00 UTC1 h ago | 16.30°N, 107.70°W | 35 kt65 km/h · 1-min average | 1003 hPa | 8 kt toward 305° |
Official forecast track
Advisory issued 2026-10-27 15:00:00 UTC by NOAA National Hurricane Center
| Valid at (UTC) | Lead time | Forecast position | Forecast wind | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-28 00:00:00 UTC | +9 h | 17.30°N, 108.20°W | 35 kt (65 km/h) | — |
| 2026-10-28 12:00:00 UTC | +21 h | 19.00°N, 108.60°W | 35 kt (65 km/h) | — |
| 2026-10-29 00:00:00 UTC | +33 h | 20.70°N, 108.60°W | 35 kt (65 km/h) | — |
| 2026-10-29 12:00:00 UTC | +45 h | 22.40°N, 108.30°W | 35 kt (65 km/h) | POST-TROPICAL |
| 2026-10-30 00:00:00 UTC | +57 h | 24.30°N, 107.80°W | 30 kt (56 km/h) | POST-TROP/REMNT LOW |
A forecast position is the centre of a range, not a destination. NHC's own long-run average track error is roughly 125 nautical miles at day 4 and 175 at day 5. The storm's effects — wind, surge, rainfall — extend well beyond the centre, so a location outside the track line is not outside the risk.
Prakruti shows the published forecast points only. It does not draw an uncertainty cone, because a cone drawn by anyone other than the issuing agency is not the official cone. Use the agency's own graphic for that.
Read the full official forecast advisory ↗Source: NOAA National Hurricane Center · Observed: 2026-10-27 15:00:00 UTC